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UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both guys come into this battle career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with full power and is based on completing competitions. In a five round fight this strategy is a risky one that will backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of his own but conserves cardio for a more consistent outcome. On the feet both guys can get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is very likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be available and Santos has historically struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities should find Blachowicz a finish once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is quick with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes with a riskier style. He keeps his hands low but does throw competitive combinations. The significant differential lies in the grappling department. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high risk submissions off his back. Against UFC calibre competitions this strategy seldom succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and look for excursions and takedowns into the mat in which he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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